Virginia's 8th District Republican Committee

First, thank you to all the candidates that ran this year.

Running for office is no small task.

It’s an uphill battle running as a Republican in Northern Virginia. As candidates, you know the odds. And you put your jobs and your families on hold to earn 10%, 15%, maybe even 20% of the vote.

Your efforts brought a much-needed alternative to one-party rule in Northern Virginia and allowed us to showcase the values that make the Republican party great.

To all those who ran, we say THANK YOU!

Election Results

The Democrats retained their majority in the Senate, 21 – 19, and re-gained control of the House of Delegates, 51 – 49.

While it’s not what we hoped for, I am very hopeful for our party’s future based on last Tuesday’s election results and the success of the Secure Your Vote Virginia initiative spearheaded by The Spirit of Virginia.

If you’re interested in the report from the Spirit of Virginia Chairman, Dave Rexrode, I encourage you to check out his analysis of the races here on X (formerly Twitter).

If you’re not an X user, I’ll recap it here for you.

1. House Districts Performance: In the 10 targeted House districts where SYVV was implemented, there was a significant improvement in election performance. The program managed to reduce the vote deficit the candidates faced on Election Day by an average of 1,261 votes compared to 2022, which is a 49.5% reduction.
2. Senate Districts Performance: Similarly, in the 7 targeted Senate districts where SYVV was run, there was noticeable improvement. The average reduction in the vote deficit compared to 2022 was 3,370 votes, amounting to a 51.7% decrease.
3. Specific District Outcomes – Two Examples:
   1. HD57: David Owen won by a margin of 715 votes. A crucial factor in this victory was the turnaround in early voting performance. In 2022, the early vote was lost by 443 ballots, but in 2023, it was won by 613 votes, a net change that significantly contributed to the win.
   2. HD82: Kim Taylor was re-elected by a narrow margin of 75 votes. The SYVV program played a key role here by cutting the Election Day deficit by 605 votes, which was more than eight times her margin of victory.
4. Overall Electoral Impact:
   1. On the House side, the scenario was slightly tighter, but in 8 out of the 10 races, GOP candidates outperformed their DEM opponents in turnout percentage.
   2. In the targeted Senate races, every Republican candidate achieved a higher percentage of the 2022 GOP vote than their opponents did of the 2022 DEM vote, averaging a 6.4% lead.
   3. In the targeted Senate races, every Republican candidate achieved a higher percentage of the 2022 GOP vote than their opponents did of the 2022 DEM vote, averaging a 6.4% lead.
   4. On the House side, the scenario was slightly tighter, but in 8 out of the 10 races, GOP candidates outperformed their DEM opponents in turnout percentage.
5. Strategic Approach and Results:
   1. The program prioritized early and persistent voter engagement. As Glenn Youngkin emphasized, it was crucial to be active from the beginning to the end of the election process.
   2. Data was utilized to identify voters susceptible to voting early, who were then contacted frequently.
   3. In one notable district won by 75 votes, SYVV almost doubled the number of AB By-Mail GOP votes, increased GOP Early In-Person votes by 33%, and reduced the Election Day deficit by nearly 25%.
6. Further Analysis and Future Implications:
   1. Detailed analysis is pending as more data becomes available. However, it’s evident that Republicans can succeed in mail and early in-person voting with proper effort.
   2. SYVV was instrumental in engaging low propensity Republicans, converting thousands into permanent AB voters, and creating a successful strategy for future GOP campaigns.
   3. With the 2024 elections in sight, the program’s impact in battleground congressional districts is notable. There are now thousands of Republicans prepared to vote ABEV (Absentee By-Mail and Early Voting), providing a substantial advantage for future GOP candidates.
   4. Glenn Youngkin has emphasized that the strategies used in SYVV are not proprietary and encourages all GOP candidates to learn from these tactics for future successes.

Andrew Loposser
Chairman, 8th District Republican Committee

As one of the only states with elections every year, Virginia will have elections in 2023 for the entire General Assembly (House of Delegates & State Senate) as well as some local offices. Republicans currently have a slim 52-seat majority in the House and Democrats control the Senate with 21 seats. This means we need to flip just one Senate seat to give Lt. Gov. Winsome Sears the tiebreaking vote and just two seats for an outright majority! We can also begin to reverse the destruction of our local communities by electing good candidates to county offices.

Statewide
House of Delegates (100 seats)
State Senate (40 seats)

Arlington County
County Board (2 seats)
School Board (2 seats)
Clerk of Court
Commissioner of Revenue
Commonwealth’s Attorney
Sheriff
Treasurer

Alexandria City
State offices only

Fairfax County
School Board
Board of Supervisors
Chairman of the Board of Supervisors
Clerk of Court
Commonwealth’s Attorney
Sheriff
Soil & Water Conservation District

Falls Church City
City Council
School Board
Clerk of Court
Commonwealth’s Attorney

If you are interested in running for office in 2023, contact your county/city Republican committee, who will help you get started!

Alexandria City — chair@alexgop.org
Arlington County — info@arlingtongop.org
Fairfax County — info@fairfaxgop.org
Falls Church City — chair@fallschurchgop.org

Election Day is tomorrow, Tuesday, November 8th! Please make a plan to vote for Karina Lipsman and retire Don Beyer!

Polls will open at 6:00 AM and close at 7:00 PM. Find your polling place here.

If you requested an absentee/mail ballot and haven’t mailed it yet, it must be postmarked by Tuesday. Check the last collection time at the post office to ensure it gets postmarked by Tuesday. You can also personally drop it off at your polling place or county/city elections office.

The final day to request an absentee (mail) ballot in Virginia is this Friday, October 29th! Remember, the law has changed so anyone can request an absentee ballot for any reason. Request an absentee/mail ballot here.

Early in-person voting is still open through Saturday, November 5th. All citizens are eligible to vote early. See the links below for your county/city. Alexandria City, Arlington County, and Fairfax County are opening additional early voting locations and extending hours.

» Alexandria City Early Voting
» Arlington County Early Voting
» Fairfax County Early Voting
» Falls Church City Early Voting

Karina Lipsman still needs your help! Sign up to volunteer here. The local Republican committees also need poll workers and poll watchers. Use the links on the right hand panel to find your county/city GOP and reach out to volunteer!